Thursday's Headlines 1. US markets sell off as virus resurgence fears take hold 2. Every sector of the S&P 500 in the red 3. 1.5 million Americans filed for unemployment last week 4. Recovery rally extinguished for sectors with momentum Markets Closed
Image courtesy Dave Carr/Getty
Markets Today It's been about three months since our last face-ripping sell-off (technical term), but we got one today. The selling was indiscriminate and viscous, and it worsened as the day went on. By the close, the DJIA shed 6.9%, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 fell 5.2% and 5.7%, respectively. Oil plunged 10%, and gold climbed 12%. Volatility, as measured by the VIX, spiked 50%. It was one of those days, and it seemed overdue.
Equity markets have been rolling over the past two weeks after melting up in May in one of the greatest recoveries in history. There was a growing drumbeat that the market had come too far, too fast, given the economic realities facing the U.S. and every other economy on the planet. Last Friday's May jobs report may have lulled investors into a false sense of security as markets plowed higher.
That all seemed to fade yesterday as Fed Chair Jay Powell vocalized the Fed's fears about the uncertainty of the recovery and the troubling unemployment rate. Add to that a resurgence in COVID-19 cases in states like Arizona and Texas that seemed to have the virus under control, and sentiment has clearly melted.
Today's sell-off was reminiscent of those in March. Given the spike in volatility, this tantrum is not even close to being complete. [NEW READER SURVEY: As promised, we are running another two-week survey of our U.S.-based readers to gauge your sentiment and see what moves, if any, you have been making with your money given the market recovery. We'll share the results, as always, and we thank you for your time and participation.]
Headlines:
The Sentiment Shift We'll likely look back at June 8th as the day sentiment shifted away from risk as equity investors started selling all the things they bought on sale in May. The big tech stocks dodged most of it as they have become the unofficial utility stocks of this pandemic, but even that changed this week.
Any sector that had been rallying in the fading hopes of a V-shaped recovery was sold, and sold hard.
Here are the big banks:
chart courtesy YCharts Travel Stocks Grounded Airline and cruise stocks, two of the most punished sectors in the shutdown, had been on the rise as economies reopened and travel bookings came back to life. That rally was extinguished today, as well:
chart courtesy YCharts Retailers Go on Sale Retail stocks, besides Home Depot and Walmart, have had a terrible 2020. Discretionary spending is not top of mind or wallet for consumers, given the fact that 43 million Americans have lost their jobs in the past 11 weeks, and belts are tightening everywhere. Many, like JCPenney and J. Crew, have filed for bankruptcy protection. Those that have not are facing enormous challenges as malls remain closed or practice social distancing, and consumers are only spending on the basics.
Here's what happened in the retail sector of the stock market today:
chart courtesy YCharts What's Next? Trends tend to stay in motion until their course is altered by news or an unforeseen development that changes sentiment. We have been riding a wave of positive sentiment for the past six weeks as good news on vaccines and the reopening of global economies emboldened investors to take on more risk.
We haven't had really good vaccine news in awhile, and the unemployment numbers continue to belie a robust recovery. If we see more spikes in a resurgence of the virus, silence on the vaccine front, and more jobless claims, this will be our trend for awhile.
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(chart courtesy YCHARTS) Shares of Kroger rose by 1.5% following an announcement that Roku will be partnering with the grocery store chain to improve its targeted advertising capabilities. Take-Two Interactive suffered the smallest loss, only 0.23%. Earlier today the video game company received a reiterated Buy rating from SunTrust Robinson Humphrey. Shares of ONEOK fell 16.5% following a public offering of 26 million shares, representing 6.3% of the natural gas company's outstanding shares, and a downgrade from Buy to Neutral by Bank of America. Oil stocks, such as Occidental Petroleum (16%) and Halliburton (15.5%), are down after the commodity's price dropped amid a new wave of coronavirus cases and rising crude inventories. Word of the Day GappingGapping is when a stock, or another trading instrument, opens above or below the previous day's close with no trading activity in between. Partial gapping occurs when the opening price is higher or lower than the previous day's close but within the previous day's price range. Full gapping occurs when the open is outside of the previous day's range. Gapping, especially a full gap, shows a strong shift in sentiment occurred overnight.
You could say we gapped way down, today. Image courtesy Heritage Images/Getty
Today in History June 11, 1930: Trying to rebuild public confidence in the market, New York Stock Exchange President Richard Whitney has the press witness him making a bid (with his own money) of $160 a share for a 60,000-share block of U.S. Steel stock. Shortly thereafter the stock sank below $150, on its way to $21 in the market bottom of 1932. Whitey was later charged with stealing $3 million, and he was dubbed "The Wolf of Wall Street."
Barrie A. Wigmore, The Crash and Its Aftermath: A History of Securities Markets in the United States, 1929–1933.
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Thursday, June 11, 2020
Melt Down
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