By Caleb Silver, Editor in Chief
Thursday's Headlines 1. U.S. markets top new record highs as chip stocks lead gains 2. Central banks of Japan and England hold interest rates steady 3. House passes SECURE Act, changing the rules around retirement benefits 4. Where has most of the money flowed in 2019? 5. Which sectors have driven markets to record highs in 2019? Markets Closed
Markets Today U.S. markets ripped to new highs today as investors ignored the political chaos in Washington D.C. and stuck with the assets that have been performing all year - stocks. The S&P 500 closed over 3200 for the first time, which has been a key threshold for the broader market. The yield on the U.S. 10-year bond inched down slightly, but is still closing back in on 2%, a level it hasn't seen in four months. As for the impeachment of President Trump, the S&P 500 is up nearly 7% since House Speaker Nancy Pelosi launched a formal impeachment inquiry in September. For comparison, during Clinton's impeachment process, the broad index surged more than 26%. These types of events rarely impact the stock market unless they are the beginning of a fundamental change in monetary or fiscal policy. This impeachment proceeding does not appear to represent that. Headlines
chart courtesy Morningstar 2019... The Year of the Taxable Bond The stock market has been hogging the spotlight all year as new records have been falling like leaves. To be sure, the financial media (present company included) pays way more attention to stocks than other asset classes because they are easy to tell stories about. Companies and executives are a lot more fun to write about than corporate, municipal, or government debt. Still, the global bond market is worth about $103 trillion, or 34% bigger than the $77 trillion world equity market. When we look at money flows in 2019, the taxable bond market, depicted in the chart above as the orange part of the bars, has dominated all year. While individual investors like you and me may have exposure to bonds in our retirement or brokerage accounts, institutional investors own this table of the casino, and they have been betting long all year. As yields have fallen for bonds in 2019, prices have risen, making some bond investors very rich. It's just not that much fun to talk about, but, as American bank robber Willie Sutton once said, "that's where the money is."
Image courtesy of Smithsonian.com chart courtesy Bespoke Investments
Best Stock Sectors of the Year Back to stocks, we shared a chart yesterday about the biggest stocks, and their influence on the broader market. Today, let's look at which industry sectors have been the strongest all year. It should come as no surprise that the technology sector takes home the trophy, with returns of more than 45% year-to-date. Communication services (think Alphabet/Google, Facebook, and Netflix), comes in second, and financials comes in third. The technology sector has dominated thanks to the outperformance of semiconductor stocks. The three best performing stocks in the S&P 500 in 2019 are AMD, Lamb Research, and KLA - all semiconductor or semiconductor equipment stocks. Chips ahoy!
chart courtesy YCharts chart courtesy YCHARTS Packaged food company Conagra Brands shot up 15.8% today after it reported strong beats on both revenue and earnings. Water management and chemical firm Ecolab jumped 3.3% today after it announced it was spinning off its oil and gas services segment, and combining it with oil and gas services company, Apergy. Darden restaurants, parent company of Olive Garden and Longhorn Steakhouse, among other restaurant chains, fell 6.3% today after it reported same-restaurant sales below expectations. Medical device maker Abiomed fell 4.3% today and truck maker PACCAR fell 3.6%. Word of the Day A taxable bond is a debt security whose return to the investor is subject to taxes at the local, state or federal level, or some combination thereof. An investor trying to decide whether to invest in a taxable bond or tax-exempt bond should consider what s/he will have left in income after taxes are taken. Mike Kemp / Getty Images
Today in History December 19, 1984 Today in 1984 the Sino-British Joint Declaration was signed, establishing that China would regain control of Hong Kong on July 1, 1997. The U.K. first occupied Hong Kong during the First Opium War in 1840. The treaty stated that China's policies towards Hong Kong, as well as Hong Kong's legal and judicial systems "will remain unchanged for 50 years," after 1997. The current protests in Hong Kong were sparked by the criminal suspect transfer bill, which the protesters believed would threaten Hong Kong's freedoms that China had promised to respect.
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Thursday, December 19, 2019
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