Sterling trades broadly lower today after data showed unexpected GDP contraction in April. More importantly, the deterioration in manufacturing after Brexit stockpiling appeared to be much worse than expected. Other survey data indicated little recovery momentum in Q2 so far, which could be heading for a contraction. Meanwhile, Australian and New Zealand Dollar are among the weakest ones as China May imports contracted by most contracted by most since July 2016. Dollar is generally firm as lifted by US-Mexico deal on migration. Trump revealed today that a part of the agreement will need a "vote by Mexico's legislative body". He then threatens Mexican lawmakers that "we do not anticipate a problem with the vote but, if for any reason the approval is not forthcoming, tariffs will be reinstated." But in any case, tariffs threats are averted for now. Canadian and Euro are among the strongest too. Technically, GBP/USD's breach of 1.2668 minor support suggests that recovery from 1.2559 has completed earlier than expected at 1.2763. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 1.2559 low. EUR/GBP's break of 0.8902 temporary top indicates resumption of recent rise towards 0.9101 key resistance. AUD/USD breached 0.6962 minor support too and more downside is in favor. Though, we'd prefer deeper decline to confirm. USD/CHF and USD/JPY are staying in consolidation. EUR/USD is resilient, remains well above 1.1251 minor support. Thus, there is no clear sign of topping in EUR/USD yet. In other markets, DOW is currently up 170pts or 0.66%. FTSE is up 0.48%. DAX is up 0.77%. CAC is up 0.18%. German 10-year yield is up 0.042 at -0.212. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 1.20%. Hong Kong HSI rose 2.27%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.86%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.69%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.005 to -0.121. |
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