Wednesday, July 15, 2015

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 7-15-15

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Dollar Firm on Upbeat Yellen, CAD Dives on BoC Cut

Dollar is strengthens in early US session on upbeat comments from Fed chair Janet Yellen. In her prepared remarks for the testimony before the House Financial Services Committee, Yellen reiterated that "if the economy evolves as we expect, economic conditions likely would make it appropriate at some point this year to raise the federal funds rate target." Meanwhile, she expected economic recovery to "to strengthen over the remainder of this year and the unemployment rate to decline gradually." Also, she noted that "economic growth abroad could also pick up more quickly than observers generally anticipate, providing additional support for U.S. economic activity." And, she's optimistic that "the U.S. economy also might snap back more quickly as the transitory influences holding down first-half growth fade and the boost to consumer spending from low oil prices shows through more definitively."

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Featured Technical Report

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.96; (P) 123.34; (R1) 123.77; More...

USD/JPY rises further to 123.87 in early US session. Intraday bias remains on the upside or 124.43 resistance. As noted before, pull back from 125.85 should have completed at 120.40. The corrective structure argues that larger up trend is not completed. Break of 124.43 should target 125.85 high and above. Meanwhile, below 122.87 minor support will turn focus back to 120.40 support instead.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
00:30 AUD Westpac Consumer Confidence Jul -3.20% -6.90%
02:00 CNY Retail Sales Y/Y Jun 10.60% 10.20% 10.10%
02:00 CNY Industrial Production Y/Y Jun 6.80% 6.00% 6.10%
02:00 CNY Fixed Assets Ex Rural YTD Y/Y Jun 11.40% 11.20% 11.40%
02:00 CNY GDP Y/Y Q2 7.00% 6.80% 7.00%
03:18 JPY BoJ Monetary Policy Statement
08:30 GBP Jobless Claims Change Jun 7.0K -8.8K -6.5K -1.1K
08:30 GBP Claimant Count Rate Jun 2.30% 2.30%
08:30 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate 3M) May 5.60% 5.50% 5.50%
09:00 CHF ZEW (Expectations) Jul -5.4 0.1
12:30 CAD Manufacturing Shipments M/M May 0.10% -21%
12:30 USD PPI M/M Jun 0.40% 0.30% 0.50%
12:30 USD PPI Y/Y Jun -0.70% -0.90% -1.10%
12:30 USD PPI Core M/M Jun 0.30% 0.10% 0.10%
12:30 USD PPI Core Y/Y Jun 0.80% 0.70% 0.60%
12:30 USD Empire State Manufacturing Jul 3.86 3 -1.98
13:15 USD Industrial Production Jun 0.30% 0.20% -0.20%
13:15 USD Capacity Utilization Jun 78.40% 78.20% 78.10%
14:00 CAD BoC Rate Decision 0.50% 0.75% 0.75%
14:00 CAD Bank of Canada Releases Monetary Policy Report
14:00 USD Fed Chair Yellen Testifies
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories 0.4M
18:00 USD Federal Reserve Beige Book
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