Monday, July 6, 2015

Action Insight Daily Report 7-7-15

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Aussie Soft after RBA, Greece to Submit New Bailout Proposal

The Australian dollar remains soft after RBA left the cash rate unchanged at historical low of 2.00% as widely expected. The accompanying statement contained little new information. The central bank maintained a neutral stance and said that it will assess the outlook and policy stance based on further information on economic and financial conditions ahead. It maintained that the economy will be "operating with a degree of spare capacity for some time yet". Inflation is expected to be consistent with target "over the next one to two years" even with a lower exchange rate. And regarding the exchange rate, RBA maintained that "further depreciation seems both likely and necessary"

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Featured Technical Report

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7463; (P) 0.7497; (R1) 0.7533; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside for the moment. The larger down trend has just resumed and further decline should be seen to 61.8% projection of 0.8910 to 0.7625 from 0.8161 at 0.7367 next. On the upside, above 0.7597 support turned resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.7848 resistance holds.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
04:30 AUD RBA Rate Decision 2.00% 2.00% 2.00%
05:45 CHF Unemployment Rate Jun 3.30% 3.30%
06:00 EUR German Industrial Production M/M May 0.10% 0.90%
07:00 CHF Foreign Currency Reserves Jun 517.5B
08:30 GBP Industrial Production M/M May -0.20% 0.40%
08:30 GBP Industrial Production Y/Y May 1.60% 1.20%
08:30 GBP Manufacturing Production M/M May 0.10% -0.40%
08:30 GBP Manufacturing Production Y/Y May 1.80% 0.20%
12:30 CAD Trade Balance (CAD) May -2.5B -2.97B
12:30 USD Trade Balance May -$42.00B -$40.90B
14:00 GBP NIESR GDP Estimate Jun 0.60%
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: Although the single currency ran into resistance just below 1.1100 and retreated, bids are still noted at 1.1000 and 1.0980, buy orders are expected at 1.0960, 1.0930 and 1.0900, buying interest is located at 1.0880, 1.0850 and 1.0825, mixture of bids and stops is located at 1.0800. On the upside, offers are now seen at 1.1095-00, 1.1120 and 1.1145-50, sell orders are reported at 1.1180, 1.1200 and 1.1220-25, selling interest is tipped at 1.1245, 1.1280 and 1.1300.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Buy at 1.2500

As the greenback has risen again after brief pullback, suggesting recent upmove from 1.2128 (wave ii trough) is still in progress in wave iii and bullishness remains for further gain to 1.2665-70, then 1.2700, however, loss of near term upward momentum should prevent sharp move beyond 1.2750-60 and reckon 1.2800 would hold.

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Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Sell at 0.7210

Euro has remained confined in narrow range and further sideways trading would be seen, above 0.7140 would bring another test of resistance at 0.8168, break there would bring retracement of recent decline to 0.7190-00 but renewed selling interest should emerge around resistance at 0.7211, bring another decline later. Below 0.7060-65 would bring retest of support at 0.6988

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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