Wednesday, July 8, 2015

Action Insight Daily Report 7-9-15

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Yen Pare Gains as Volatility Continues

Sentiments in the financial markets continued to be volatile. The NYSE had the biggest trading halt in two years overnight due to a computer glitch. DJIA ended the day down -261.49 pts, or -1.47% to close at 17515.42, above this week's low of 17465.68. S&P 500 also lost -34.66 pts, or -1.67%, at 2046.68 and held above this week's low of 2044.02. Nikkei follows and is down -260 pts, or -1.3% for the moment after hitting a three month low. Nonetheless, the China market recovers on fresh rescue measures from the government in response to the stock market crash. Hong Kong market also stages a strong rebound. The new measures include banning big shareholders in China from cutting stakes for the next six months. In the currency markets, yen surged sharply yesterday on risk aversion but is retreating mildly today.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.89; (P) 121.23; (R1) 122.04; More...

USD/JPY drops to as low as 120.40 and recovers mildly. But there is no sign of reversal yet. Intraday bias remains on the downside to 118.88 key support level. On the upside, though, break of 122.45 support turned resistance will indicate completion of the fall and will turn bias back to the upside.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:01 GBP RICS House Price Balance Jun 40% 37% 34%
23:50 JPY Machine Orders M/M May 0.60% -4.60% 3.80%
23:50 JPY Japan Money Stock M2+CD Y/Y Jun 3.80% 4.00% 4.00% 4.10%
1:30 CNY CPI Y/Y Jun 1.40% 1.40% 1.20%
1:30 CNY PPI Y/Y Jun -4.80% -4.60% -4.60%
1:30 AUD Employment Change Jun 7.3K 0.1K 42.0K 40.0K
1:30 AUD Unemployment Rate Jun 6.00% 6.10% 6.00% 5.90%
6:00 JPY Machine Tool Orders Y/Y (JUN P) 15.00%
6:00 EUR German Trade Balance (EUR) May 20.6B 22.3B
11:00 GBP BoE Rate Decision 0.50% 0.50%
11:00 GBP BoE Asset Purchase Target 375B 375B
12:15 CAD Housing Starts Jun 191K 201.7K
12:30 CAD New Housing Price Index M/M May 0.20% 0.10%
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (JUL 4) 277K 281K
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 69B
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency continued to edge higher, however, sell orders are still noted at 1.1085, 1.1100 and 1.1120, selling interest is tipped at 1.1145-50, 1.1180 and 1.1200, sellers are awaiting at 1.1220-25 and 1.1245-50. On the downside, bids are seen at 1.1025, 1.1000-10 and 1.0980, more buy orders are expected at 1.0960, 1.0940 and 1.0925, buying interest should emerge around 1.0900, 1.0880, 1.0850 barrier and 1.0825, mixture of bids and stops is located at 1.0800.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Buy at 1.2580

As the greenback has retreated after faltering below resistance at 1.2780, suggesting consolidation below this level would be seen and pullback to 1.2640-50 cannot be ruled out, however, reckon 1.2560-70 would limit downside and bring another upmove later, above said resistance would extend recent upmove in wave iii from 1.2128 (wave ii trough) to 1.2800, then 1.2835, however, loss of near term upward momentum should prevent sharp move beyond 1.2875-80

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Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Exit short entered at 0.7210

Current rally in part due to the weakness in sterling suggests temporary low has been formed at 0.6988 and near term upside risk is seen for a stronger rebound to resistance at 0.7251, break there would add credence to this view, bring further gain to 0.7290 (another previous resistance) which is likely to hold from here.

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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