Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Action Insight Daily Report 8-19-15

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Asian Equities Lower as Focus on FOMC Minutes

Asian equities are generally lower today as worries over China's economy and Fed's rate hike persist. Major indices follow China down as the Shanghai composite index drops again, down over -3% at the time of writing. HK HSI is down -1% while Japanese Nikkei is down -1.2%. In other markets, WTI crude oil is struggling in tight range around 42 while gold is also trading around 1110/20. In the currency markets, Canadian dollar recovers mildly today in spite of weakness in crude oil. Aussie is so far the weakest one as weighed down by China. European majors are mixed with weakness in Euro but strength in Sterling. Dollar is mixed while weakness is seen in Yen despite risk aversion.

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Featured Technical Report

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5575; (P) 1.5645; (R1) 1.5730; More... .

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside for the moment. The rebound from 1.5329 is resuming and would target 1.5929 resistance and possibly above. But we'd continue to be cautious on strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 1.7190 to 1.4565 at 1.6187 to limit upside to complete whole rise from 1.4565. On the downside, below 1.5561 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.5329/5423 support zone instead.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
22:45 NZD PPI Inputs Q/Q Q2 -0.30% -0.50% -1.10%
22:45 NZD PPI Outputs Q/Q Q2 -0.20% -0.20% -0.90%
23:50 JPY Trade Balance (JPY) Jul -0.37T -0.16T -0.25T -0.28T
0:30 AUD Westpac Leading Index M/M Jul 0.00% 0.00%
4:30 JPY All Industry Activity Index M/M Jun 0.30% 0.40% -0.50%
8:00 EUR Eurozone Current Account (EUR) Jun 19.2B 18.0B
12:30 USD CPI M/M Jul 0.10% 0.30%
12:30 USD CPI Y/Y Jul 0.20% 0.10%
12:30 USD CPI Core M/M Jul 0.20% 0.20%
12:30 USD CPI Core Y/Y Jul 1.90% 1.80%
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -1.7M
18:00 USD FOMC Meeting Minutes
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency has slipped again and bids at 1.1050 were filled but buy orders are still noted at 1.1020 and 1.1000, buyers are expected at 1.0985, 1.0965 and 1.0950, buying interest should emerge around 1.0930, 1.0900 and 1.0885. On the upside, offers are seen at 1.1070-80, 1.1100 and 1.1120-25, sell orders are reported at 1.1150, 1.1180 and 1.1200, selling interest is tipped at 1.1220, 1.1245, 1.1265 and 1.1285, mixture of offers and stops is located at 1.1300.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Wrap-up: GBP/USD - Buy at 1.5630

As the British pound has retreated after intra-day rally to 1.5717, suggesting minor consolidation below this level would be seen and pullback to the Kijun-Sen (now at 1.5640) cannot be ruled out, however, reckon the lower Kumo (now at 1.5631) would limit downside and bring another rise later. Above said resistance at 1.5717 would extend early erratic rise from 1.5330 low to 1.5750, then test of resistance at 1.5789.

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Trade Idea Wrap-up: USD/JPY - Hold short entered at 124.50

The greenback is expected to continue to trade within near term established range and further sideways trading would be seen, however, as long as indicated resistance at 124.63 holds, mild downside bias remains for another fall to support at 124.05, break there would bring test of support at 123.79 but below there is needed to add credence to our view that top has been formed at 125.28 last week, bring subsequent fall towards previous support at 123.52.

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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