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Daily Report: Dollar Stays Weak as Yuan Devaluated for Third DayDollar stays generally weak this week, except against Aussie and Yen, even though sentiments seemed to have stabilized. DJIA recovered from sharp early loss and closed nearly flat down -0.33 pts. There were continuous talk that China's devaluation of yuan would delay Fed's rate hike. Markets pushed down the chance of a September hike through 40% to as low as 39%. That compared to over 50% last week. Meanwhile, the chance for a December hike stood above 65%. China's move was seen as deflationary to US and could trigger much uncertainty in the global financial markets. Meanwhile, some economists noted that the risks for Fed to hike too early or too late are heavily skewed. | |
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USD/CAD Daily OutlookDaily Pivots: (S1) 1.2902; (P) 1.3029; (R1) 1.3107; More... Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.3213. Further rise is still expected as long as 1.2859 support holds. Above 1.3213 will target next projection level at 1.3287. Meanwhile, break of 1.2859 will confirm near term topping with bearish divergence condition in 4 hours MACD. In such case, deeper pull back would be seen back to 55 days EMA (now at 1.2762). |
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US Session: Orders and Options WatchEUR: The single currency maintained a firm tone after intra-day rally but sell orders are still noted at 1.1165 and 1.1180, selling interest is tipped further out at 1.1200, 1.1220 and 1.1245-50. On the downside, bids are raised to 1.1100-10, 1.1080 and 1.1050, buy orders are reported at 1.1020, 1.1000 and 1.0985, buying interest is located at 1.0965 and 1.0950, fresh demand should emerge around 1.0900, 1.0880 and 1.0850. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Trade Idea : EUR/GBP - Buy at 0.7085The single currency has rallied after finding renewed buying interest at 0.7038 yesterday and the intra-day breach of previous resistance at 0.7161 suggests another leg of corrective rise from 0.6936 is underway for gain towards 0.7200 but reckon another previous resistance at 0.7224 would hold from here, bring retreat later this week. Trade Idea: EUR/JPY - Buy at 137.70The single currency has surged again after breaking resistance at 137.80, adding credence to our view that the erratic rise from 133.31 is still in progress and may extend further gain to 139.15-20, then 139.60-70, however, near term overbought condition should limit upside today and price should falter well below psychological resistance at 140.00, bring retreat later. Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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