Sunday, September 27, 2015

Action Insight Daily Report 9-28-15

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Quiet Trading as More Fedspeaks Awaited

Asian markets opened mxi as trading volume is light with Hong Kong, Taiwan and South Korea on Mid-Autumn Festival holiday. Nikkei is trading down -1%, or -170pts, at the time of writing while Australia ASX 200 is trading up 1%. Weak economic data were released from China as industrial profits dropped -8.8% yoy in August, a sharp deterioration fro July's -2.9% yoy. But the data was shrugged off for the number of key events in the week ahead. In the currency markets, most major currencies are stuck in range against others with mild strength in Kiwi against other commodity currencies. In other markets, gold continues to feel the resistance around 1150 handle while crude oil is gyrating in range around 45.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3299; (P) 1.3327; (R1) 1.3356; More...

With 1.3232 minor support intact, further rise is expected in USD/CAD. The larger up trend is resuming and current rally would target next long term retracement level at 1.3469. Meanwhile, below 1.3232 will bring deeper pull back first. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.3011 and bring another rally.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
12:30 USD Personal Income Aug 0.40% 0.40%
12:30 USD Personal Spending Aug 0.30% 0.30%
12:30 USD PCE Deflator M/M Aug 0.00% 0.10%
12:30 USD PCE Deflator Y/Y Aug 0.30%
12:30 USD PCE Core M/M Aug 0.10% 0.10%
12:30 USD PCE Core Y/Y Aug 1.20% 1.20%
14:00 USD Pending Home Sales M/M Aug 0.40% 0.50%
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency found support at 1.1116 and has recovered, offers at 1.1165 were filled but sell orders are still noted at 1.1180, 1.1200 and 1.1220-25, selling interest is tipped at 1.1245, 1.1275 and 1.1300. On the downside, bids are seen at 1.1150 and 1.1115-20, mixture of bids and stops remains at 1.1100-05, buy orders are expected at 1.1085, 1.1065 and 1.1050, buying interest should emerge around 1.1030 and 1.1000.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Hold long entered at 0.7320

Although the single currency has retreated after rising to 0.7411 yesterday and consolidation below this level would be seen, reckon 0.7300-05 would limit downside and bring another rise later towards last month's high of 0.7423, however, break there is needed to confirm upmove has resumed and extend the rise from 0.6936 low (wave v trough) to 0.7450-55 and later towards 0.7490-00 which is likely to hold from here due to near term overbought condition.

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Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Buy at 1.3235

As the greenback has retreated after rising to 1.3417, suggesting consolidation below this level would be seen and pullback to 1.3270-75 cannot be ruled out, however, reckon 1.3235-40 would limit downside and bring another upmove later, above said resistance at 1.3417 would extend recent upmove to 1.3450 and then towards 1.3490-00, however, near term overbought condition should prevent sharp move beyond 1.3620-30 (50% projection of 1.2128-1.3354 measuring from 1.3013), risk from there is seen for a correction to take place later.

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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