Monday, September 28, 2015

Action Insight Daily Report 9-29-15

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Risk Aversion Dominates and Yen Surges

The financial markets are haunted by another round of risk selloff. DJIA lost -312.78 pts, or -1.92% to close at 16001.89. It barely held on to 16000 handle after dipping to as low as 15981.85. S&P 500 also lost -49.57 pts, or -2.57% to close at 1881.77. Asian markets followed with Nikkei trading down -660 pts, or -3.7% at the time of writing, and says pressured below 17000 handle. Hong Kong HSI is trading down -660 pts too, or -3.1%. Gold continues to stay soft and is trading at around 1125 in spite of risk adverse sentiments. Crude oil, nonetheless, remains in recently established tight range. In the currency markets, yen is so far the strongest major currency this week, as it usually does in risk aversion. Commodity currencies are generally pressured.

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Featured Technical Report

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 181.30; (P) 182.30; (R1) 182.96; More.....

The break of 181.60 indicates resumption of fall from 188.28. Intraday bias is mildly on the downside for 180.36 low first. Break will confirm resumption of whole fall from 195.86 and deeper decline would be seen to test 174.86 key support level. On the upside, above 184.41 resistance will extend the sideway trading from 180.36 with another rise.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
06:00 EUR German Import Price Index M/M Aug -1.50% -0.70%
08:30 GBP Mortgage Approvals Aug 70K 68.8k
08:30 GBP M4 Money Supply M/M Aug 0.70% 1.00%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Business Climate Indicator Sep 0.21 0.21
09:00 EUR Eurozone Economic Confidence Sep 104 104.2
09:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Confidence Sep -3.9 -3.7
09:00 EUR Eurozone Services Confidence Sep 10 10.2
09:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence Sep F -7.1 -7.1
10:00 GBP CBI Reported Sales Sep 24
12:00 EUR German CPI M/M Sep P -0.10% 0.00%
12:00 EUR German CPI Y/Y Sep P 0.10% 0.20%
12:30 CAD Industrial Product Price M/M Aug 0.70%
12:30 CAD Raw Materials Price Index M/M Aug -5.90%
13:00 USD S&P/Case-Shiller Composite-20 Y/Y Jul 5.10% 4.97%
14:00 USD Consumer Confidence Sep 97 101.5
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency traded narrowly today, bids are still noted at 1.1165, 1.1150 and 1.1135, buy orders are reported at 1.1120-25, 1.1100 and 1.1085, buying interest is tipped at 1.1065, 1.1050 and 1.1030, mixture of bids and stops is located at 1.1000. On the upside, offers are seen at 1.1200, 1.1220-25 and 1.1245, sell orders are expected at 1.1275 and 1.1300.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Hold long entered at 0.7320

The single currency found renewed buying interest at 0.7303 late last week and has rebounded, retaining our bullishness for gain towards last month's high of 0.7423, however, break there is needed to confirm upmove has resumed and extend the rise from 0.6936 low (wave v trough) to 0.7450-55 and later towards 0.7490-00 which is likely to hold

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Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Buy at 1.3235

The pair ran into resistance at 1.3417 last week and has retreated, retaining our view that consolidation below this level would be seen and pullback to 1.3270-75 cannot be ruled out, however, reckon 1.3235-40 would limit downside and bring another upmove later, above said resistance at 1.3417 would extend recent upmove to 1.3450 and then towards 1.3490-00

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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