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Action Insight Weekly Report | Markets Snapshot |
Limited Post FOMC Weakness Points to Dollar RallyDollar tumbled broadly after FOMC kept interest rate unchanged last week and sent a more dovish than expected message. However, the weakness in the greenback was relatively limited and short lived. Dollar staged a strong recovery towards the weekly close. Dollar still closed the week as the second weakest major currency, after Euro. But the near term outlook in dollar is not overwhelmingly bearish in spite of the FOMC disappointments. Indeed, it's possibly the time to re-considering buying dollar again after this key event risk is past. Based on Friday's CME group FedWatch data, markets are only pricing in 11% change of rate hike in October and 39% in December. Such non-expectation of a hike could turn out to be supportive to the greenback. | |
Featured Technical Report | |
USD/CHF Weekly OutlookUSD/CHF dipped sharply to as low as 0.9527 but recovered strongly since then. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Overall outlook is unchanged as recent sideway pattern is viewed as a triangle consolidation pattern. Below 0.9527 will bring another fall but we'd expect strong support above 0.9256 to bring rebound. Above 0.9823 will turn focus to 0.9902 resistance. Decisive break there will be an early sign of range breakout and larger rise resumption. |
Suggested Readings |
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The Week in Review and Outlook
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