Thursday, September 10, 2015

Action Insight Daily Report 9-11-15

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Sterling Maintains Post BoE Gains

US equities closed higher overnight with DJIA gained 76.83 pts or 0.47% at 16330.40 while S&P 500 rose 10.52 pts, or 0.53% to close at 1952.29. DJIA seemed to have some difficulty in sustaining above 16500 handle as markets focus are turning to next week's FOMC rate decision. Asian markets are mixed with Nikkei trading mildly lower at the time of writing. In bond markets, US 30 year yields extended recent rebound but lost momentum ahead of 3% handle. Gold is notably lower this week and is soft at around 1110 while Crude oil continues to consolidate between 44/46. In the currency markets, Australian dollar remains the strongest one this week as lifted by rebound in stocks, in particular in Asia. Sterling follows closely after BoE rate decision. Yen remains the weakest one.

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Featured Technical Report

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5362; (P) 1.5419; (R1) 1.5499; More...

The rebound from 1.5164 extended higher and the development suggests that fall from 1.5929 was a correction and has completed at 1.5164. Intraday bias is back on the upside or 1.5817 resistance first. The rise from 1.4565 might extend through 1.5929. But in that case, we'd expect strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 1.7190 to 1.4565 at 1.6187 to limit upside. On the downside, below 1.5338 will turn focus back to 1.5164 support instead.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
22:30 NZD Business NZ Manufacturing Index Aug 55 53.5 53.7
23:50 JPY BSI Large Manufacturing Q3 11 -1.9 -6
6:00 EUR German CPI M/M Aug F 0.00% 0.00%
6:00 EUR German CPI Y/Y Aug F 0.20% 0.20%
12:30 USD PPI M/M Aug -0.10% 0.20%
12:30 USD PPI Y/Y Aug -0.80%
12:30 USD PPI Core M/M Aug 0.10% 0.30%
12:30 USD PPI Core Y/Y Aug 0.60%
14:00 USD U. of Michigan Confidence Sep P 92 91.9
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency found support at 1.1172 and has rebounded again, bids are still noted at 1.1170-75, 1.1160 and 1.1145-50, buy orders are reported at 1.1120, 1.1100 and 1.1085, buying interest is tipped at 1.1070 and 1.1050. On the upside, offers are seen at 1.1225, 1.1245-50 and 1.1270-75, sell orders are expected at 1.1300, 1.1320 and 1.1335, selling interest should emerge around 1.1350 and 1.1390-00.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Hold long entered at 1.3210

As the greenback has rebounded after holding above indicated support at 1.3150-55, retaining our bullishness for gain to resistance at 1.3325-27 but break there is needed to signal correction from 1.3354 has ended, bring retest of this recent high. Once this level is penetrated, this would extend recent upmove to 1.3390-00, however, this minor wave v of iii should be limited to 1.3440-50

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Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Stand aside

The single currency has retreated again after meeting resistance at 0.7320, retaining our view that near term downside risk remains for another corrective decline from 0.7423 top to bring retracement of recent upmove to 0.7220-25 (50% Fibonacci retracement of 0.7026-0.7423), however, reckon 0.7200 would limit downside and 0.7170-78 (previous resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement) should hold

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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