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Daily Report: Aussie Soft on Weak Data, ECB WatchedAustralian dollar stays soft in Asian session and continues to struggle around 0.7 against the greenback. Trade deficit narrowed to AUD -2.46b in July, smaller than expectation of AUD -3.10b. Nonetheless, that's still the country's 16th consecutive monthly balance of deficit. Also, while exports rose 2% mom, that's mainly thanks to 62% mom rise in non-monetary gold shipments, which should be temporary. On the other hand, imports was steady and rose by less than 0.1% mom. Also from Australia, retail sales dropped -0.1% mom in July, much worse than expectation of 0.4% mom. | |
Featured Technical Report | |
AUD/USD Daily OutlookDaily Pivots: (S1) 0.6996; (P) 0.7022; (R1) 0.7063; More... Further fall is still expected in AUD/USD with 0.7152 resistance intact. Sustained trading below 61.8% projection of 0.9504 to 0.7625 from 0.8161 at 0.7000 will pave the way to 100% projection at 0.6282. On the upside, break of 0.7152 resistance is needed to be first signal of short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery. |
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US Session: Orders and Options WatchGBP: Cable recovered after falling 1.5264, bids are still noted at 1.5265, 1.5250 and 1.5220, buying interest is tipped at 1.5190-00 and further out at 1.5160-70. On the upside, offers are seen at 1.5320 and 1.5350, sell orders are expected at 1.5380 and 1.5400, selling interest should emerge around 1.5420 and 1.5450. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Forex Trade Ideas | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Buy at 0.7300The single currency has staged a strong rebound after finding good support at 0.7246 late last week, suggesting the correction from 0.7423 has possibly ended there and consolidation with upside bias remains for gain to last week's high at 0.7423, however, break there is needed to confirm recent upmove has resumed and extend gain to 0.7450, then towards 0.7475-80, otherwise, further consolidation is in store. Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Stand asideAlthough the greenback has rebounded after holding above yesterday's low at 1.3117 and consolidation with initial upside bias is seen for gain to 1.3300, break of indicated resistance at 1.3327 (Monday's high) is needed to signal correction from last week's high at 1.3354 has ended, bring retest of this level. Once this resistance is penetrated, this would signal recent upmove has resumed and extend further gain to 1.3390-00, however, this minor wave v of iii should be limited to 1.3440-50 Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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