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Daily Report: Euro and Dollar Lower in Quiet MarketsEuro and dollar are generally lower this week so far on dull holiday trading. Volatility would increase as US will be back from holiday today. Asian markets are mixed after release of a batch of economic data. Data from China showed worsening in foreign trade again in August. Both exports and imports contracted more than expected and raised much doubt on the health of the economy. Exports dropped -6.1% yoy while imports dropped -14.3% yoy. Overall trade contracted -9.7% yoy. Trade surplus widened to USD 57.8b. PBoC said yesterday that the country's foreign exchange reserves dropped USD -93.9b in August to USD 3.56T. It's reported that capital outflow was a big concern while the central bank intervened in the markets to shore up the yuan and prevent capital outflow. | |
Featured Technical Report | |
GBP/USD Daily OutlookDaily Pivots: (S1) 1.5198; (P) 1.5242; (R1) 1.5315; More... A temporary low is in place at 1.5164 in GBP/USD and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Some consolidations would be seen but upside of recovery should be limited by 1.5436 resistance and bring fall resumption. Below 1.5164 will extend the fall from 1.5929 to 61.8% retracement of 1.4565 to 1.5929 at 1.5086 an below. However, sustained break of 1.5436 will turn focus back to 1.5929 resistance instead. |
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Orders and Options Watch | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
US Session: Orders and Options WatchEUR: The single currency remained confined in familiar range and further consolidation is in store, offers are still noted at 1.1180-85 and 1.1200, sell orders are reported at 1.1225 and 1.1250 (stops above), selling interest is tipped at 1.1280 and 1.1300. On the downside, bids are now seen at 1.1120 and 1.1090-00, more buy orders are expected at 1.1050-60 and 1.1020-25, buying interest should emerge around 1.0990-00 (stops below 1.0980). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Forex Trade Ideas | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Hold long entered at 0.7300As euro has retreated again after meeting resistance at 0.7357 earlier today, retaining our view that further consolidation would be seen but as long as indicated minor support at 0.7262 holds, prospect of another rebound remains, above resistance at 0.7376 would bring test of 0.7395 but break there is needed to signal upmove has resumed for retest of 0.7423. Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Buy at 1.3210The greenback has continued to edge higher after finding good support 1.3163 on Friday and bullishness remains for a retest of previous resistance at 1.3354, however, break there is needed to confirm recent upmove has resumed and extend further gain to 1.3390-00. Having said that, this minor wave v of iii should be limited to 1.3440-50, risk from from there is seen for a correction to take place later. Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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