Wednesday, September 2, 2015

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 9-2-15

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: European Majors Lower as Sentiments Stabilized

European majors are generally lower today while commodity currencies recover as risk sentiments stabilized. European indices are fluctuating between gain and loss in tight range today while US futures point to a rebound. Released from US, ADP report showed 190k growth in private sector jobs in August, slightly below expectation of 200k. Prior month's figure was revised lower fro 185k to 177k. Also from US, non-farm productivity was finalized at 3.3% in Q2 while unit labor cost dropped -1.4%.

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Featured Technical Report

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5266; (P) 1.5336; (R1) 1.5374; More...

GBP/USD's decline is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside. Fall from 1.5929 should target 100% projection of 1.5929 to 1.5329 from 1.5817 at 1.5217. The whole rebound from 145.65 should have finished at 1.5929 too. Break of 1.5217 will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 1.4846. On the upside, above 1.5442 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.5817 resistance holds.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Monetary Base Y/Y Aug 33.30% 33.20% 32.80%
01:30 AUD GDP Q/Q Q2 0.20% 0.40% 0.90%
08:30 GBP Construction PMI Aug 57.3 57.5 57.1
09:00 EUR Eurozone PPI M/M Jul -0.10% -0.10% -0.10%
09:00 EUR Eurozone PPI Y/Y Jul -2.10% -2.10% -2.20%
12:15 USD ADP Employment Change Aug 190K 200K 185K 177K
12:30 USD Non-Farm Productivity Q2 F 3.30% 2.50% 1.30%
12:30 USD Unit Labor Costs Q2 F -1.40% -0.70% 0.50%
14:00 USD Factory Orders Jul 0.4% 0.70% 1.80% 2.2%
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -5.5M
18:00 USD Fed Beige Book
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

GBP: Cable recovered after falling 1.5264, bids are still noted at 1.5265, 1.5250 and 1.5220, buying interest is tipped at 1.5190-00 and further out at 1.5160-70. On the upside, offers are seen at 1.5320 and 1.5350, sell orders are expected at 1.5380 and 1.5400, selling interest should emerge around 1.5420 and 1.5450.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: EUR/JPY - Sell at 136.35

Yesterday's drop below 135.26 support signals the fall from 139.01 (wave b top) is still in progress and bearishness remains for this move to extend further weakness to 134.50, then towards 133.90-00, however, near term oversold condition would limit downside to 133.50 and reckon 133.00-10 would hold from here, risk from there is seen for a rebound to take place later.

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Trade Idea : AUD/USD - Sell at 0.7075

Yesterday's selloff together with the breach of previous support at 0.7043 signals recent downtrend has resumed and bearishness remains for further weakness to 0.6925-35 (1.618 times projection of 0.8163-0.7598 measuring from 0.7849) and later towards 0.6900, however, near term oversold condition should limit downside to 0.6870-75 and reckon 0.6850 would hold from here, bring rebound later.

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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