Tuesday, September 8, 2015

Action Insight Mid-Day Reports 9-8-15

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: China Rebound Led Global Stocks Higher, Sterling and Aussie Up

Late rebound in China's stock markets led global equities generally higher today. The Shanghai composite index once lost as much as -2.3% during the session but reversed to close 2.9% higher at 3170.45. That also the first rise in five days. European indices follow with DAX up 2.3%, CAC up 1.9% and FTSE up 1.6% at the time of writing. Meanwhile, US futures also point to a rebound today and DJIA may head back to 16300 handle in initial trading. In the currency markets, major pairs and crosses are reversing recent moves. In particular, some strength is seen in Aussie, Kiwi and Sterling while weakness is seen in Yen and Swiss Franc.

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Featured Technical Report

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5198; (P) 1.5242; (R1) 1.5315; More...

The rebound from 1.5164 extended higher today but stays below 1.5436 resistance so far. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment and we'd still expect another fall. Below 1.5164 will extend the fall from 1.5929 to 61.8% retracement of 1.4565 to 1.5929 at 1.5086 an below. However, sustained break of 1.5436 will turn focus back to 1.5929 resistance instead.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
22:45 NZD Manufacturing Activity Q2 0.40% -2.80% -2.60%
23:01 GBP BRC Retail Sales Monitor Y/Y Aug -1.00% 1.20%
23:50 JPY Current Account (JPY) Jul 1.32T 1.25T 1.30T
23:50 JPY GDP Q/Q Q2 F -0.30% -0.40% -0.40%
23:50 JPY GDP Deflator Y/Y Q2 F 1.50% 1.60% 1.60%
1:30 AUD NAB Business Confidence Aug 1 4
2:00 CNY Trade Balance Aug $57.77B $51.10B $43.03B
5:00 JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Current Aug 49.3 52.1 51.6
5:45 CHF Unemployment Rate Aug 3.30% 3.30% 3.30%
6:00 EUR German Trade Balance (EUR) Jul 22.8B 21.8B 22.0B 22.1B
9:00 EUR Eurozone GDP Q/Q Q2 P 0.40% 0.30% 0.30%
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

GBP: Cable eased after rising to 1.5413, offers are still noted at 1.5415-20, 1.5450, more selling interest is tipped at 1.5500-10 and 1.5550. On the downside, bids remain at 1.5350, 1.5320-30 and 1.5300, more buy orders are expected at 1.5250, 1.5220 and 1.5200 (stops below), buying interest should emerge around 1.5160-65 (stops below 1.5150).

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Update: GBP/USD - Buy at 1.5300

Cable has staged another strong rebound today, adding credence to our view that low has been formed at 1.5164 and consolidation with upside bias remains for retracement of recent decline, hence gain to 1.5414 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.5818-1.5164) would be seen, however, break of resistance area at 1.5437-43 is needed to retain bullishness

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Trade Idea Update: USD/JPY - Buy at 119.65

Although the greenback slipped initially to 118.85, dollar found renewed buying interest there and has staged a strong rebound, suggesting low has been formed at 118.59 late last week and consolidation with mild upside bias is seen for gain to 120.30-40., break there would add credence to this view and extend rebound to 120.70 resistance.

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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