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Mid-Day Report: Euro Steady as ECB AwaitedEuro stays steady in range as markets await ECB rate decision and press conference. The central bank is widely expected to keep policies unchanged. Last week, Governing council member Ewald Nowotny's comments that the central bank might need new instrument to boost growth and inflation fueled speculations that President Draghi would deliver a more dovish statement this week. We expect the ECB would pledge to continue implementation of the QE program through September 2016 and reiterate commitments to extend stimulus whenever necessary. President Draghi would likely reaffirm that the ECB is "ready, willing and capable" of actions. | |
Featured Technical Report | |
EUR/AUD Daily OutlookDaily Pivots: (S1) 1.5632; (P) 1.5702; (R1) 1.5795; More... Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. We'd still expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 1.3671 to 1.6587 at 1.5473 to complete the correction from 1.6587. Above 1.5820 minor resistance should bring stronger rise to retest 1.6587. However, break of 1.5396 will invalidate our view and bring deeper decline to 61.8% retracement at 1.4785 and possibly below. |
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Orders and Options Watch | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
US Session: Orders and Options WatchGBP: The British pound recovered after intra-day initial fall to 1.5415 but sell orders are still noted at 1.5480, 1.5500-10 (stops above) and 1.5525-30, selling interest is tipped at 1.5550, 1.5565 and 1.5585, sellers are awaiting at 1.5600 and 1.5620. On the downside, bids are seen at 1.5415, 1.5400 and 1.5380, buy orders are expected at 1.5350, 1.5330 and 1.5300, buying interest should emerge around 1.5285, 1.5265 and 1.5250. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Forex Trade Ideas | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Buy at 0.7260 or sell at 0.7420Although the single currency has rebounded after finding support at 0.7304 and consolidation above this level is seen, reckon upside would be limited to 0.7395-00 (50% Fibonacci retracement of 0.7493-0.7304) and renewed selling interest should emerge below 0.7420-25 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement), bring another decline later. Below said support at 0.7304 would signal the decline from 0.7493 top (wave v peak) is still in progress Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Buy at 1.2910The greenback has rebounded again after brief retreat to 1.2935 yesterday, retaining our view that further consolidation above last week's low at 1.2832 would take place with mild upside bias for test of resistance at 1.3081, however, break there is needed to add credence to our view that low has been formed at 1.2832, this would also signal at least first leg of decline from 1.3457 top has ended Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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