Tuesday, October 20, 2015

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 10-20-15

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Renewed Selling Seen in Dollar as Range Trading Continues

Some renewed selling is seen in dollar in early US session as recent sideway trading continues. Commodity currencies are generally higher while Yen weakens. Released from US, housing starts rose to 1.21m annualized rate in September but building permits dropped to 1.10m. Canada wholesale sales dropped -0.1% mom in August. Eurozone current account surplus narrowed to EUR 17.7b in August. German PPI dropped sharply by -0.4% mom, -2.1% yoy in September. Swiss trade surplus widened to CHF 3.05b in September.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9505; (P) 0.9528; (R1) 0.9561; More....

No change in USD/CHF's outlook. With 0.9585 minor resistance intact, further fall is still expected towards lower trend line (now at 0.9352). Recent price actions are viewed as a triangle pattern. Strong support should be seen above 0.9256 to contain downside and bring rebound. Above 0.9585 minor resistance will turn focus back to 0.9842 resistance. And, an eventual upside breakout is still favored. Decisive break of 0.9842 would target 1.0127 resistance.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
00:30 AUD RBA Minutes
06:00 CHF Trade Balance (CHF) Sep 2.51B 2.87B
06:00 EUR German PPI M/M Sep 0.00% -0.50%
06:00 EUR German PPI Y/Y Sep -1.70% -1.70%
08:00 EUR Eurozone Current Account (EUR) Aug 20.1B 22.6B
12:30 CAD Wholesale Sales M/M Aug 0.20% 0.00%
12:30 USD Housing Starts Sep 1.14M 1.13M
12:30 USD Building Permits Sep 1.16M 1.17M
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency retreated after meeting resistance at 1.1387, offers at 1.1375-80 were filled but sell orders are still noted at 1.1400 and 1.1425-30, selling interest is tipped at 1.1455-60, 1.1485 and 1.1500. On the downside, bids are seen at 1.1325-30, 1.1300 and 1.1285, buy orders are expected at 1.1265 and 1.1250, buying interest should emerge around 1.1230 and 1.1200.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Update: EUR/USD - Sell at 1.1430

As the single currency has rebounded after falling to 1.1306 yesterday, suggesting consolidation above this level would be seen and recovery to 1.1395-00 cannot be ruled out, however, if our view that top has been formed at 1.1495 is correct, upside should be limited to 1.1430 and bring another decline to 1.1295

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Trade Idea Update: USD/JPY - Buy at 118.90

The greenback has risen again after brief pullback, adding credence to our view that low has been formed at 118.06 last week and consolidation with upside bias remains for further gain towards 120.00, however, only a break of resistance at 120.35 would provide confirmation and encourage for headway towards 120.57 resistance which is likely to hold

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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