Monday, October 26, 2015

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 10-26-15

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Euro Weakness Continues Despite Better Than Expected German Confidence

Euro stays soft in spite of slightly better than expected German data. German Ifo business climate dropped to 108.2 in October but was better than expectation of 108.0. Current assessment gauge dropped to 112.6 versus expectation of 113.3. But expectations gauge rose to 103.8 versus expectation of 102.3. Ifo president Hans-Werner Sinn noted that "the German economy is proving remarkably resilient in view of this autumn's multiple challenges." And, "the Volkswagen scandal has had no impact on the German automotive industry."

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0959; (P) 1.1049 (R1) 1.1102; More.....

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside for the moment. Fall from 1.1713 has just resumed. And corrective rise rise from 1.0461 has already completed ahead of 38.2% retracement of 1.3993 to 1.0461 at 1.1810. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.0807 support next. Break will pave the way for a test on 1.0461. On the upside, above 1.1139 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation before staging another decline.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
9:00 EUR German IFO - Business Climate Oct 108.2 108 108.5
9:00 EUR German IFO - Current Assessment Oct 112.6 113.3 114
9:00 EUR German IFO - Expectations Oct 103.8 102.3 103.3
9:30 GBP BBA Mortgage Approvals Sep 44.5K 46.2K 46.7K
11:00 GBP CBI Trends Total Orders Oct -18 -8 -7
14:00 USD New Home Sales Sep 468K 547k 552k 529K
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency traded narrowly and further consolidation is in store, sell orders are reported at 1.1075-80, 1.1100 and 1.1125, selling interest is tipped at 1.1150, 1.1175-80 and 1.1200. On the downside, bids are seen at 1.1000, 1.0985 and 1.0960, buy orders are expected at 1.0930, 1.0900 and 1.0885, buying interest should emerge around 1.0850, 1.0830 and 1.0800.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Update: GBP/USD - Sell at 1.5400

Cable's selloff from 1.5510 (last week's high) adds credence to our view that top has been formed there and bearishness remains for this fall to bring at least a strong retracement of recent upmove, hence weakness to 1.5300 and 1.5280 would be seen, however, reckon downside would be limited to 1.5260-65

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Trade Idea Update: USD/CHF - Buy at 0.9715

As the greenback has risen again after finding support around the Kijun-Sen, suggesting the rise from 0.9476 is still in progress and may extend gain to 0.9844 resistance, however, break of this previous chart point is needed to retain bullishness and signal early upmove has resumed for headway towards 0.9890-00 which is likely to hold

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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