Thursday, October 22, 2015

Action Insight Daily Report 10-23-15

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Euro Stays Weak on ECB, Aussie and Kiwi Lifted by Stocks

Euro was sold off deeply yesterday on hint of further easing by ECB and stays weak in Asian session. The breach of 1.1086 support suggests that more weakness would be seen in EUR/USD in near term. The move in EUR/USD provided a boost to dollar index, which is now back pressing 96.7 resistance. The news also sent equities higher with DJIA closing up 320.55 pts, or 1.87% at 17489.16. Asian equities follow with Nikkei trading up more than 430 pts, or 2.3% at the time of writing. Strong risk appetite also gave Aussie and Kiwi a lift. Commodities are steady though, with crude oil hovering between 45 and 46. Gold is also gyrating around 1170 for the moment.

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.38; (P) 134.72; (R1) 135.40; More...

EUR/JPY drops sharply following broad based weakness in Euro. Focus is back on 133.14 support. Break will bring a test on 132.22 low. Further break there will suggest that rebound from 126.09 has completed and will target a test on this support level. On the upside, break of 137.43 resistance will target 138.99 first.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
1:35 JPY PMI Manufacturing Oct P 52.5 50.6 51
2:00 CNY Conference Board Leading Index Sep 1.60% 1.00%
7:00 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Oct P 50.2 50.6
7:00 EUR France Services PMI Oct P 51.9 51.9
7:30 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Oct P 51.9 52.3
7:30 EUR Germany Services PMI Oct P 54 54.1
8:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Oct P 51.8 52
8:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Oct P 53.5 53.7
12:30 CAD CPI M/M Sep 0.00%
12:30 CAD CPI Y/Y Sep 1.30%
12:30 CAD BoC CPI Core M/M Sep 0.20%
12:30 CAD BoC CPI Core Y/Y Sep 2.10%
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency tumbled today after ECB, bids at 1.1250, 1.1230, 1.1200, 1.1185 and 1.1165 were filled, however, some buy orders are still noted at 1.1150 and 1.1130, fresh demand is located at 1.1100 and 1.1070-75. On the upside, offers are lowered to 1.1220, 1.1250 and 1.1300, sell orders are expected at 1.1325-30 and 1.1350, selling interest should emerge around 1.1385-90 (stops above) and 1.1415-20, selling interest should emerge around 1.1450 and further out at 1.1490-00.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Wrap-up: GBP/USD - Sell at 1.5480

Although cable resumed recent rise to a marginal high of 1.5510, lack of follow through buying and the subsequent euro-led retreat signal top has been formed there and consolidation with downside bias is seen for at least a correction of recent rise, hence weakness to 1.5370 and then 1.5350-55 (50% Fibonacci retracement of 1.5201-1.5510) is likely

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Trade Idea Wrap-up: EUR/USD - Sell at 1.1240

Current selloff on euro's broad-based weakness signals early erratic rise from 1.1087 has ended at 1.1495 and bearishness remains for further weakness to 1.1135 (previous support, then towards key support at 1.1105, however, break of latter level is needed to signal early downtrend has resumed for further fall towards 1.1081-87

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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