Sunday, October 25, 2015

Action Insight Daily Report 10-26-15

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Markets Steady as Heavy Weight Events Awaited

Asian markets are generally higher as the week opened, in response to the rate cut by China's central bank on Friday. Nonetheless, there is no follow through buying seen after initial jump. In the currency markets, dollar pares back some of last week's gain but remains generally firm. Euro is still feeling the pressure from last week's dovish ECB press conference and is trading soft. German Ifo business climate will be the main focus today while UK will release BBA mortgage approvals, CBI trends total orders, US will release new home sales. But these events might not trigger much reactions in the markets. Traders will be cautiously awaiting the heavy weight events later in the week.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3074; (P) 1.3135; (R1) 1.3232; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside for the moment as rebound from 1.2834 is expected to extend to retest 1.3456 resistance. At this point, there is no clear sign of up trend resumption yet and thus, we'd be cautious on strong resistance from there to bring another falling leg to extend the consolidation. On the downside, below 1.3039 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2830.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
09:00 EUR German IFO - Business Climate Oct 108 108.5
09:00 EUR German IFO - Current Assessment Oct 113.3 114
09:00 EUR German IFO - Expectations Oct 102.3 103.3
09:30 GBP BBA Mortgage Approvals Sep 46.2K 46.7K
11:00 GBP CBI Trends Total Orders Oct -8 -7
14:00 USD New Home Sales Sep 547k 552k
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency tumbled today after ECB, bids at 1.1250, 1.1230, 1.1200, 1.1185 and 1.1165 were filled, however, some buy orders are still noted at 1.1150 and 1.1130, fresh demand is located at 1.1100 and 1.1070-75. On the upside, offers are lowered to 1.1220, 1.1250 and 1.1300, sell orders are expected at 1.1325-30 and 1.1350, selling interest should emerge around 1.1385-90 (stops above) and 1.1415-20, selling interest should emerge around 1.1450 and further out at 1.1490-00.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Sell at 0.7240

Euro's selloff after meeting renewed selling interest at 0.7373 confirms top has indeed been formed at 0.7493 and downside bias is seen for this fall to extend further weakness to 0.7145-50 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 0.6936-0.7493) and possibly towards 0.7120-25, however, near term oversold condition should limit downside to 0.7100

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Trade Idea: EUR/JPY - Sell at 134.70

The single currency tumbled in line with our bearish expectation, adding credence to our view that rebound from 133.16 has ended and decline from 136.96 is still in progress, hence bearishness remains for this fall to extend weakness towards 133.16, however, break there is needed to retain downside bias and bring subsequent fall towards support at 132.23

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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