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Mid-Day Report: Dollar Extends Rally, More to Come?Dollar continues today post-FOMC rally today and remains firm after job data from US, initial jobless claims came in slightly below expectation of 320k in the weekended March 15. More economic data will be released in the US session but that shouldn't alter the greenback's trend. The development in dollar index bearish some bullish implications. Break of 80.27 resistance firstly indicate that fall from 81.39 has completed already. More importantly, the pattern from 81.48 could be a consolidation pattern that's completed with three waves down to 79.27. And, that implies rise from 79.00 is ready to resume for another high above 81.48. This is a possible scenario considering again that 78.72 represents an important long term support level. The next focus will be on whether the index could sustain above 55 days EMA, now at 80.22. And in that case, we'd likely see a challenge on 81.39/48 resistance zone in near term. | |
Featured Technical Report | |
USD/CHF Mid-Day OutlookDaily Pivots: (S1) 0.8746; (P) 0.8787; (R1) 0.8848; More... USD/CHF's recovery from 0.8689 extends higher today but is still kept below 0.8895 resistance. Thus, there is no change in the bearish outlook. Another fall is still expected and below 0.8968 will target 61.8% projection of 0.9751 to 0.8799 from 0.9156 at 0.8568 next. However, break of 0.8895 will firstly indicate that fall from 0.9156 has completed. More importantly, it would argue that the larger fall from 0.9838 has completed a five way sequence too. In such case, outlook will be turned bullish for at least a test on 0.9156 resistance. |
Economic Indicators Update |
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Orders and Options Watch | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
US Session: Orders and Options WatchEUR: The single currency dropped again today in European session, bids at 1.3800-10 and 1.3780-90 were cleared, however, some buy orders are still noted at 1.3750, fresh buying interest is tipped at 1.3720-30 and further out at 1.3700. On the upside, offers are lowered to 1.3800, 1.3820 and in good size at 1.3840-45 with stops building up above 1.3855-60, more sell orders are located at 1.3880 and in good size at 1.3900-15. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Forex Trade Ideas | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Trade Idea Update: GBP/USD - Sell at 1.6565Despite yesterday's rebound to 1.6654, as the British pound dropped sharply after faltering below indicated resistance at 1.6666 and broke below support at 1.6546, suggesting the decline from 1.6823 top has resumed for retracement of early upmove, hence further weakness to 1.6470 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 1.6252-1.6823) would be seen Trade Idea Update: EUR/USD - Sell at 1.3840Yesterday's post-FOMC selloff together with the breach of indicated support area at 1.3834-46 signal top has been formed at 1.3967 and downside bias is seen for retracement of recent upmove to previous resistance at 1.3749, then 1.3720-25, however, near term oversold condition should prevent sharp fall below latter level and price should stay above support at 1.3707. Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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