Thursday, November 12, 2015

Action Insight Daily Report 11-13-15

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Equities Tumble on Fed Expectations, Dollar Consolidations Continue

US equities tumbled sharply overnight as investors are getting more convinced that Fed would lift interest rates in December. DJIA closed down -254.15 pts or -1.44% at 1.7448.07 while S&P 500 dropped -29.03 pts or -1.40% to close at 2045.97. Both development indicates near term reversal ahead of respective historical high of 18351.36 and 2134.71. Dollar continues to retreat prior rally and dipped mildly overnight, staying soft in Asian session.

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.79; (P) 132.27; (R1) 133.07; More...

EUR/JPY's consolidation from 131.44 temporary low is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Stronger recovery could be seen but upside should be limited well below 136.38 resistance and bring fall resumption. Sustained break of 131.44 will target a test on 126.09 low.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
04:30 JPY Industrial Production M/M Sep F 1.00% 1.00%
04:30 JPY Tertiary Industry Index M/M Sep 0.20% 0.10%
06:30 EUR French GDP Q/Q Q3 P 0.30% 0.00%
07:00 EUR German GDP Q/Q Q3 P 0.30% 0.40%
08:15 CHF Producer & Import Prices M/M Oct -0.20% -0.10%
08:15 CHF Producer & Import Prices Y/Y Oct -6.80%
09:00 EUR Italian GDP Q/Q Q3 P 0.30% 0.30%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Trade Balance (EUR) Sep 19.4B 19.8b
10:00 EUR Eurozone GDP Q/Q Q3 A 0.40%
13:30 USD Advance Retail Sales Oct 0.20% 0.10%
13:30 USD Retail Sales Less Autos Oct 0.40% -0.30%
13:30 USD PPI M/M Oct 0.20% -0.50%
13:30 USD PPI Y/Y Oct -1.20% -1.10%
13:30 USD PPI Core M/M Oct 0.10% -0.30%
13:30 USD PPI Core Y/Y Oct 0.80%
15:00 USD Business Inventories Sep 0.00% 0.00%
15:00 USD U. of Michigan Confidence Nov P 91 90
15:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 52B
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

GBP: Cable's retreat from 1.5247 has kept sterling under pressure, however, buy orders are still noted at 1.5165-70, 1.5150 and 1.5125-30, buying interest is tipped at 1.5100, 1.5080-85 and 1.5060, fresh demand is located at 1.5045, 1.5025-30 and 1.5000. On the upside, offers are now seen at 1.5220-25, 1.5245-50 and 1.5265, sell orders are expected at 1.5280 and 1.5300, selling interest should emerge around 1.5325 and 1.5350.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Buy at 1.3285

Current rally above resistance at 1.3318 signals the rise from 1.2832 is still in progress and may extend gain to 1.3400, however, break of recent high at 1.3457 is needed to confirm early upmove has resumed and bring headway towards 1.3500-10 but near term overbought condition should limit upside to 1.3550, risk from there is seen for a retreat later.

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Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Stand aside

Although euro's retreat from 0.7197 has kept price under pressure and weakness to previous support at 0.7026 is likely, loss of downward momentum should prevent sharp fall below psychological support at 0.7000, risk from there has increased for a corrective rebound to take place soon.

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

 

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