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Daily Report: Dollar Firm against Euro as FOMC Minutes AwaitedDollar stays firm against Euro, Swiss Franc and, to a lesser extent Yen, in Asian session today. Trading in the currency markets have been relatively quiet so far this week. A major focus today is the minutes of the October FOMC meeting. Attention will be on whether policy makers express easing concern over emerging markets, in particular China, earlier this year. Another key is whether there are more FOMC members expressing the confidence for rate hike in December. But after all, we're not expecting much new information and the greenback would likely stay firm after today's release. At the moment, fed fund futures are pricing in 64% chance of a rate hike in December, slightly down from prior day's 67.8%. | |
Featured Technical Report | |
EUR/CHF Daily OutlookDaily Pivots: (S1) 1.0774; (P) 1.0796; (R1) 1.0821; More... Outlook in EUR/CHF is unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. We'd still expect strong support from 1.0732 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0233 to 1.1049 at 1.0737) to complete the correction from 1.1049 and bring rebound. Above 1.0917 will turn bias to the upside for retesting 1.1049. However, sustained break of 1.0732 cluster support will dampen our view and bring deeper fall. |
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Orders and Options Watch | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
US Session: Orders and Options WatchEUR: The single currency remained under pressure today, however, buy orders are still noted at 1.0630-35, 1.0620 and 1.0600, buying interest is tipped at 1.0580 and 1.0550, fresh demand is located at 1.0525-30 and 1.0500. On the upside, offers are seen at 1.0680 and 1.0700, sell orders are expected at 1.0725, 1.0745 and 1.0760, selling interest should emerge around 1.0780-85 and 1.0800. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Forex Trade Ideas | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Buy at 0.6970As the single currency has fallen again after brief recovery, suggesting recent decline is still in progress and may extend weakness to psychological support at 0.7000, however, loss of downward momentum should prevent sharp fall below 0.6970-75, reckon 0.6950 would hold, bring rebound later. Above 0.7110 resistance would suggest a temporary low is possibly formed, bring retracement of recent decline to 0.7130 Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Exit long entered at 1.3285Despite yesterday's rise to 1.3371, lack of follow through buying and the subsequent retreat suggest consolidation would be seen and downside risk has increased for test of 1.3265-70, break there would suggest top has possibly been formed there, bring weakness to 1.3225 support but only break there would provide confirmation, bring further fall towards 1.3160-70 later. Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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