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Mid-Day Report: Sterling Higher as Unemployment Fell to Seven Year LowSterling is generally higher today after release of job data. Unemployment rate dropped to 5.3% in the three months ended September. Lowest level since April 2008. The total number of unemployment dropped by 103k to 1.75m. The Office for National Statistics noted that "these figures continue the recent strengthening trend in the labour market, with a new record high in the employment rate and the unemployment rate still at its lowest level since spring 2008." Meanwhile, claimant counts rose 3.3k in October versus expectation of 1.6%. Nonetheless, some economists noted that the weak wage growth of 2% would be a concern to BoE policy makers and interest rates are likely to stay on hold still 2017. According to a Reuters poll of over 43 economists, 33 expected the first 25bps hike to come after March. But opinions are divided on whether that would happen in Q2, Q3 or Q4. | |
Featured Technical Report | |
GBP/USD Daily OutlookDaily Pivots: (S1) 1.5091; (P) 1.5118; (R1) 1.5145; More... A temporary low is in place at 1.5026 in GBP/USD and intraday bias is turned neutral for the moment. Deeper decline is still expected as long as 1.5508 resistance holds. Below 1.5026 will target a test on 1.4565 low. |
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Orders and Options Watch | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
European Session: Orders and Options WatchEUR: The single currency finally rebounded after finding support at 1.0674 yesterday, however, sell orders are still noted at 1.0760-65, 1.0780-85 and 1.0800, offers are reported at 1.0820, 1.0845-50, selling interest is tipped at 1.0885 and 1.0900. On the downside, bids are seen at 1.0730-35, 1.0720 and 1.0700, buy orders are expected at 1.0685, 1.0665 and 1.0650, buying interest should emerge around 1.0630 and 1.0600. Option expires today include: 1.0600, 1.0750 and 1.0800. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Trade Idea Update: USD/CHF - Hold long entered at 1.0000The greenback retreated after rising briefly to 1.0087 yesterday and consolidation below this level would be seen, however, as long as 1.0020 minor support holds, bullishness remains for another rise, above said resistance would extend recent upmove to 1.0100 and possibly towards 1.0129-34 Trade Idea Update: GBP/USD - Sell at 1.5220As cable has maintained a firm undertone and near term upside risk remains for the rebound from 1.5027 (last week's low) to bring retracement of recent decline, above 1.5187 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.5445-1.5027) would bring a stronger rebound towards 1.5220, however, reckon upside would be limited to 1.5235-40 (50% Fibonacci retracement), bring another decline later Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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