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Daily Report: Dollar Mildly Higher on Rate ExpectationsDollar open the week mildly higher as supported by rate hike expectations. San Francisco Fed president John Williams said on Saturday that there is a "strong case" for rate hike. And recent "data have been overall encouraging, especially on the labor market". Nonetheless, he also noted that "the slope is the most important thing to communicate, the pace of increases". But he emphasized that Fed wouldn't want to indicate a "very mechanical path of interest rates" as "economic data can surprise on the upside and the downside". As of Friday, fed fund futures are pricing in 74% chance of rate hike by Fed in December. Technically, dollar is still staying in tight range against Euro, Swiss Franc and Yen. Some additional momentum is needed to resume recent rally. | |
Featured Technical Report | |
USD/CAD Daily OutlookDaily Pivots: (S1) 1.3296; (P) 1.3325; (R1) 1.3381; More... USD/CAD is mildly higher as the week starts but intraday bias stays neutral first. Further rise is in favor in near term as long as 1.3223 minor support holds. However, we'd be cautious on strong resistance from 1.3456 to bring another falling leg to extend the consolidation from there. Below 1.3223 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.3037 support. Break there will target 1.2830 support and possibly below. |
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Orders and Options Watch | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
US Session: Orders and Options WatchEUR: Euro traded narrowly after dropping to 1.0664 earlier in European morning, buy orders are still noted at 1.0665, 1.0650 and 1.0630-35, buying interest is tipped at 1.0620, 1.0600 and 1.0580, fresh demand is located at 1.0550, 1.0525-30 and 1.0500. On the upside, offers are seen at 1.0720-25 and 1.0745, sell orders are expected at 1.0760, 1.0780-85 and 1.0800, selling interest should emerge around 1.0830 and 1.0850. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Forex Trade Ideas | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Buy at 0.6960As the single currency has remained week, suggesting recent decline is still in progress and may extend weakness to 0.6970-75 (50% projection of 0.7493-0.7042 measuring from 0.7197), however, loss of downward momentum should prevent sharp fall below there and reckon 0.6950 would hold, bring rebound later. Above 0.7075-80 would bring test of 0.7110 resistance, break there would suggest a temporary low is possibly formed, bring retracement of recent decline to 0.7130 Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Stand asideDespite yesterday's rebound to 1.3370, as the greenback retreated again after faltered below this week's high at 1.3371, retaining our view that further consolidation below this level would be seen and weakness towards support at 1.3225 cannot be ruled out, however, break there is needed to signal top has been formed there, bring retracement of recent rise to 1.3195-00, then 1.3160-70. Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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