Monday, November 23, 2015

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 11-23-15

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Euro Pares Some Loss after PMIs

Euro dipped initially today against dollar but recovered mildly after better than expected PMI data. Eurozone PMI composite rose to 54.4 in November, up fro 53.9 in October and hit the highest level since May 2011. Eurozone PMI manufacturing rose to 52.8 versus expectation of 52.3 while PMI services rose to 54.6 versus expectation 54.2. German PMI manufacturing rose to 52.6 versus expectation of 52.2 while PMI services rose to 55.6 versus expectation of 54.3. French PMI manufacturing rose to 50.8 versus expectation of 50.7 but PMI services dropped to 51.3 versus expectation of 52.1.

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0671; (P) 1.0717 (R1) 1.0778; More.....

The breach of 1.0616 temporary low suggests that recent fall is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the downside for a test on 1.0467 low first. Decisive break there will confirm down trend resumption and target 50% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1713 at 0.9947 next. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hours MACD, break of 1.0762 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
8:00 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Nov P 50.8 50.7 50.6
8:00 EUR France Services PMI Nov P 51.3 52.1 52.7
8:30 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Nov P 52.6 52.2 52.1
8:30 EUR Germany Services PMI Nov P 55.6 54.3 54.5
9:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Nov P 52.8 52.3 52.3
9:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Nov P 54.6 54.2 54.1
15:00 USD Existing Home Sales Oct 5.43M 5.55M
Orders and Options Watch

European Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: Euro fell initially to 1.0601 before recovering, bids remain above option barrier at 1.0600 (stops below), 1.0580-85 and 1.0550, buying interest is tipped at 1.0525-30 and 1.0500. On the upside, offers are now seen at 1.0650-55, 1.0680-85 and 1.0700, sell orders are expected at 1.0720-25, 1.0745 and 1.0760, selling interest should emerge around 1.0780-85 and 1.0800. Option expires today include: 1.0600, 1.0700 (near 1 bln), 1.0720 (1 bln), 1.0750 (larg) and 1.0770 (near 2 bln).

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Update: GBP/USD - Sell at 1.5225

Cable's selloff after last week's rise to 1.5336 together with the breach of support at 1.5155 signals top has been formed there and bearishness remains for the fall from 1.5336 to extend weakness to 1.5110-15, however, break of 1.5090 is needed to signal early rebound from 1.5027 has ended, bring further subsequent decline to 1.5055-60.

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Trade Idea Update: EUR/USD - Sell at 1.0670

Euro's intra-day breach of last week's low of 1.0617 signals recent decline is still in progress and may extend weakness to 1.0580-85 (61.8% projection of 1.1073-1.0674 measuring from 1.0831), then towards 1.0550-55, however, near term oversold condition should prevent sharp fall below latter level and price should stay above previous chart support at 1.0520, bring rebound later.

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

 

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