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Daily Report: Dollar Firm as Non-Farm Payroll AwaitedDollar stays firm and remain one of the strongest major currencies as markets are awaiting employment data from US today. Stocks retreated mildly but both DJIA and S&P 500 stayed well inside recent upward trajectory. Treasury yields also extended recent rise with 30 year yield closed above 3% level at 3.013% while 10 year yield closed at 2.245%. Earlier this week, Fed chair Janet Yellen said that "if the incoming information supports that expectation then our statement indicates that December would be a live possibility". Fed fund futures are pricing in 58% chance of a December hike by Fed as of yesterday. Currency traders, bond and stocks investors are so far responding to such expectation well. And today's non-farm payroll will be another important piece of important for Fed's decision. | |
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GBP/USD Daily OutlookDaily Pivots: (S1) 1.5140; (P) 1.5270; (R1) 1.5337; More... The break of 1.5241 support suggests further weakness in GBP/USD. Intraday bias is now on the downside for 1.5106 support next. As noted before, whole decline from 1.5929 is expected to continue. Break of 1.5106 will confirm this bearish case and target a test on 1.4565 low. In any case, we'd still maintain that risk remains on the downside as long as 1.5658 resistance intact. |
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European Session: Orders and Options WatchEUR: The single currency bounced off multi-month low of 1.0834 in European morning, however, offers are still noted at 1.0880, 1.0900 and 1.0935-40, more sell orders are reported at 1.0960-70 (stops above) and 1.1000, selling interest is tipped at 1.1020-25, 1.1050 and 1.1075-80. On the downside, bids are now seen at 1.0850, 1.0830-35 and 1.0800, fresh demand should emerge around 1.0785 and 1.0750. Option expires today include: 1.0800 (large), 1.0875, 1.0890, 1.0900, 1.0950 (large) and 1.1000 (1 bln). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Trade Idea Update: USD/CHF - Buy at 0.9900Dollar's intra-day breach of previous resistance at 0.9958 (last week's high) confirms recent upmove has resumed and bullishness remains for further gain towards psychological resistance at 1.0000 which is likely to hold on first testing and price should falter below 1.0040-50, risk from there is seen for another retreat later. Trade Idea Update: USD/JPY - Buy at 120.95Although the greenback has risen again after brief pullback, loss of near term upward momentum should prevent sharp move beyond 122.10-15 (61.8% projection of 118.06-121.51 measuring from 119.99 as well as 1.236 times projection of 119.99-121.49 measuring from 120.26), price should falter below 122.50, risk from there is seen for a retreat to take place later. Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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