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Mid-Day Report: Sterling Tumbles on Dovish BoESterling tumbles sharply as BoE lowered both growth and inflation forecast. Also, the MPC noted that "inflation is likely to remain lower than previously expected until late 2017". And, CPI is expected to stay below 1% until second half of 2016, with downside risks. GDP projection was lowed to 2.7% in 2015 and 2.7% in 2016. That compared to prior foreacst of 2.8% and 2.7% respectively. BoE held bank rate unchanged at 0.50% and kept the asset purchase target at GBP 375b as widely expected. Ian McCafferty dissented again and voted for a rate hike. | |
Featured Technical Report | |
GBP/USD Mid-Day OutlookDaily Pivots: (S1) 1.5348; (P) 1.5396; (R1) 1.5432; More... GBP/USD drops sharply today but stays above 1.5241 minor support and intraday bias remains neutral first. Overall outlook is unchanged that near term risk remains on the downside with 1.5658 resistance intact. That is, decline from 1.5929 is expected to continue. Below 1.5241 will target a test on 1.5106 low first. However, decisive break of 1.5685 will confirm near term reversal and bring retest of 1.5929 instead. |
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Orders and Options Watch | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
European Session: Orders and Options WatchEUR: The single currency bounced off multi-month low of 1.0834 in European morning, however, offers are still noted at 1.0880, 1.0900 and 1.0935-40, more sell orders are reported at 1.0960-70 (stops above) and 1.1000, selling interest is tipped at 1.1020-25, 1.1050 and 1.1075-80. On the downside, bids are now seen at 1.0850, 1.0830-35 and 1.0800, fresh demand should emerge around 1.0785 and 1.0750. Option expires today include: 1.0800 (large), 1.0875, 1.0890, 1.0900, 1.0950 (large) and 1.1000 (1 bln). | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Trade Idea Update: USD/CHF - Buy at 0.9900Dollar's intra-day breach of previous resistance at 0.9958 (last week's high) confirms recent upmove has resumed and bullishness remains for further gain towards psychological resistance at 1.0000 which is likely to hold on first testing and price should falter below 1.0040-50, risk from there is seen for another retreat later. Trade Idea Update: USD/JPY - Buy at 120.95Although the greenback has risen again after brief pullback, loss of near term upward momentum should prevent sharp move beyond 122.10-15 (61.8% projection of 118.06-121.51 measuring from 119.99 as well as 1.236 times projection of 119.99-121.49 measuring from 120.26), price should falter below 122.50, risk from there is seen for a retreat to take place later. Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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