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Daily Report: Aussie Steady after RBA Minutes, Euro Range BoundAussie stays steady tight range after RBA released minutes for its June 2 meeting. The central bank noted that it was "appropriate" to keep rates unchanged at historical low of 2.00% in June and to "assess information on economic and financial conditions as it become available". It said that "these data would inform the board's assessment of the state of the economy and the outlook and hence whether the current stance of policy would most effectively foster sustainable growth and inflation." Meanwhile, it also acknowledged that "the available data suggested that private business investment had declined further in the March quarter." Regarding the exchange rate, RBA said "a lower exchange rate would have an immediate beneficial effect on some sectors, such as tourism." And, "it would need to be lower for a sustained period to have a significant effect on large investment decisions in other trade-exposed sectors." | |
Featured Technical Report | |
AUD/USD Daily OutlookDaily Pivots: (S1) 0.7719; (P) 0.7748; (R1) 0.7792; More... AUD/USD's consolidation from 0.7597 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. With 0.7839 resistance intact, near term outlook remains bearish. We're holding on to the view that consolidation pattern from 0.7625 has completed at 0.8161 already and larger down trend is possibly resuming. Below 0.7597 will target 0.7532 first. Break will target 61.8% projection of 0.8910 to 0.7625 from 0.8161 at 0.7367 next. However, above 0.7839 will suggest that consolidation pattern from 0.7625 is extending with another rise towards 0.8161 resistance. |
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Orders and Options Watch | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
US Session: Orders and Options WatchEUR: The single currency traded narrowly after finding support at 1.1189, offers are still noted at 1.1260, 1.1280 and 1.1300, more sell orders are reported at 1.1320, 1.1340 and 1.1365, selling interest is tipped at 1.1380 and 1.1400. On the downside, bids are now seen at 1.1200-05 and 1.1185, buy orders are expected at 1.1150, 1.1130 and 1.1100, buying interest should emerge around 1.1080-85, 1.1065 and 1.1050. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Hold long entered at 0.7200The single currency has remained under pressure after falling to 0.7196 on Friday, further consolidation is seen but downside should be limited and upside bias remains for a rebound to 0.7290-00 but break of resistance at 0.7316 is needed to signal low is formed, bring further rise towards 0.7365, break there would confirm retreat from 0.7389 has ended, bring retest of this level later. Looking ahead, a break there is needed to extend the rebound from 0.7055 to 0.7420, then towards 0.7450 Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Hold short entered at 1.2350Although the greenback rebounded after falling to 1.2202 last week and further consolidation above this level is seen, reckon upside would be limited to 1.2360-65 and bring another decline, below 1.2270 would bring retest of said support at 1.2202, break there would extend the fall from 1.2563 for retracement of recent rise in wave ii, then weakness to 1.2150 would follow but 1.2100 would contain downside and 1.2050 should hold, bring rebound later. Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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