Monday, June 8, 2015

Action Insight Daily Report 6-9-15

ActionForex.com
Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Sentiments Weighed Down by Fed Expectations and Greece Impasse

Asian equities are broadly lower following the weakness in US stocks overnight. Nikkei is down -0.8%, or 164pts at the time of writing while HK HSI is also down -0.8% or -222 pts. DJIA closed -0.46% or -82.91 pts at 17766.55 and turned negative for the year. Investors were gauging the chance of a September Fed rate hike. A New York Fed survey showed that one year inflation expectations rose to 3%, up from prior month's expectation of 2.7%. That's back to the highest level this year. Last week's strong job report solidified the case for a September hike and focus will turn to retail sales to be released on Thursday, on further evidence of a rebound of the economy in Q2. The dollar, however, didn't ride on the sentiment and weakened in general.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2370; (P) 1.2421; (R1) 1.2460; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as the consolidation from 1.2562 continues. Downside of retreat should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.1919 to 1.2562 at 1.2316 and bring rise resumption. We'd still holding on to the view that corrective fall from 1.2834 is completed at 1.1919. Above 1.2562 will target 1.2834 resistance.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
22:45 NZD Manufacturing Activity Q1 -2.80% -0.70% -1.00%
23:01 GBP BRC Retail Sales Monitor Y/Y May 0.00% -2.40%
23:50 JPY Japan Money Stock M2+CD Y/Y May 4.00% 3.60% 3.60%
1:30 AUD NAB Business Confidence May 7 3
1:30 CNY CPI Y/Y May 1.20% 1.30% 1.50%
1:30 CNY PPI Y/Y May -4.50% -4.50% -4.60%
1:30 AUD Home Loans Apr 1.00% -1.80% 1.60% 1.50%
5:00 JPY Consumer Confidence May 41.9 41.5
5:45 CHF Unemployment Rate May 3.30% 3.30%
6:00 JPY Machine Tool Orders Y/Y May P 10.50%
7:15 CHF CPI M/M May 0.10% -0.20%
7:15 CHF CPI Y/Y May -1.10%
8:30 GBP Visible Trade Balance (Pounds) Apr -10.0B -10.1B
14:00 USD Wholesale Inventories Apr 0.10% 0.10%
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency rebounded again in European session in part due to higher German yield, offers at 1.1180-85, 1.1200 and 1.1220 were triggered, however, sell orders are still noted at 1.1225, 1.1250 and 1.1285, selling interest is tipped at 1.1300, 1.1320, 1.1350 and 1.1380, mixture of offers and stops is located at 1.1400. On the downside, bids are now seen at 1.1150-55 and 1.1115-20, buy orders are expected at 1.1100, 1.1080 and 1.1050, buying interest should emerge at 1.1035, 1.1020 and 1.1000, fresh demand is located around 1.0985, 1.0965 and 1.0950.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Buy at 0.7250

Although the single currency has rebounded after finding support at 0.7266 earlier today and gain to 0.7360 cannot be ruled out, break of last week's high of 0.7386 is needed to signal the rebound from 0.7055 is still in progress and extend gain to 0.7400, then towards 0.7450, however, as broad outlook remains consolidative, reckon upside would be limited and resistance at 0.7483 (last month's high) would hold, bring further choppy trading

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Trade Idea: EUR/JPY - Buy at 138.20

Euro's consolidation below last week's high of 141.06 is likely to continue and as long as this level holds, mild downside bias is seen for another corrective fall to 138.90-00, however, reckon 138.15-20 would contain pullback and bring another rise later, above said resistance would extend recent upmove from 126.09 low to 141.50, however, reckon upside would be limited to 141.70-75 and price should falter below 142.50

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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