Monday, June 8, 2015

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 6-8-15

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Dollar Pared Gains on Obama Rumor

Dollar pared back some of the post NFP gains on report that US president Barack Obama told G7 leaders that a strong dollar posed a problem to the country. White house denied the news in a statement and said Obama "made a point that he has made previously a number of times: that global demand is too weak and that G-7 countries need to use all policy instruments, including fiscal policy as well as structural reforms and monetary policy, to promote growth." Released from Canada, housing starts rose to 202k in May, building permits rose 11.6% mom in April.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.65; (P) 125.25; (R1) 126.16; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside as recent rally continues. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% projection of 105.19 to 121.84 from 118.88 at 129.16 next. On the downside, break of 124.40 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations again before staging another rally.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Current Account (JPY) Apr 1.27T 1.45T 2.07T
23:50 JPY GDP Q/Q Q1 F 1.00% 0.70% 0.60%
23:50 JPY GDP Deflator Y/Y Q1 F 3.40% 3.40% 3.40%
02:25 CNY Trade Balance May $59.50B $47.00B $34.13B
05:00 JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Current May 53.3 54.2 53.6
06:00 EUR German Industrial Production M/M Apr 0.90% 0.60% -0.50% -0.40%
06:00 EUR German Trade Balance (EUR) Apr 22.3B 18.1B 19.3B
08:30 EUR Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Jun 17.1 18.9 19.6
12:15 CAD Housing Starts May 202K 187K 181.8K 183K
12:30 CAD Building Permits M/M Apr 11.60% 3.40% 11.60%
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency rebounded again in European session in part due to higher German yield, offers at 1.1180-85, 1.1200 and 1.1220 were triggered, however, sell orders are still noted at 1.1225, 1.1250 and 1.1285, selling interest is tipped at 1.1300, 1.1320, 1.1350 and 1.1380, mixture of offers and stops is located at 1.1400. On the downside, bids are now seen at 1.1150-55 and 1.1115-20, buy orders are expected at 1.1100, 1.1080 and 1.1050, buying interest should emerge at 1.1035, 1.1020 and 1.1000, fresh demand is located around 1.0985, 1.0965 and 1.0950.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Update: EUR/USD - Sell at 1.1225

As the single currency has rebounded after dropping to 1.1050 on Friday after NFP, suggesting consolidation above this level would be seen and corrective bounce to 1.1200 cannot be ruled out, however, reckon the lower Kumo (now at 1.1230) would limit upside and bring another decline later. Below 1.1085-90 would bring another test of Friday's low at 1.1050, below there would add credence to our view that top has been formed at 1.1380 last week and downside bias remains for weakness to 1.1030-35

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Trade Idea Update: USD/JPY - Exit long entered at 125.10 and buy at 124.75

Failure to extend intra-day rebound suggests consolidation would be seen and another test of minor support at 124.99 cannot be ruled out, however, reckon 124.70-75 would limit downside and bring another rise later, above 125.55-60 would signal pullback from 125.86 has ended, bring retest of this Friday's high, break there would extend medium term upmove to 126.00, then towards 126.30 but near term overbought condition should prevent sharp move beyond 126.50

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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