Sunday, June 7, 2015

Action Insight Daily Report 6-8-15

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Markets Steady with Muted Reactions to Asian Data

Markets are relatively quiet in Asian session today despite some important economic data release. Q1 GDP of Japan was finalized at 1.0% qoq, revised up from 0.7% qoq. Annualized rate was revised to 3.9%, up from prior estimate of 2.4%. The data was seen as positive and showed that recovery is picking up pace. Released from China, trade surplus widened to USD 59.5b in May, much higher than expectation of USD 47.0b. Imports dropped sharply by -17.6% yoy while exports dropped -2.5% yoy. Looking ahead, Germany will release industrial production and trade balance in European session while Eurozone will release Sentix Investor confidence. Canada will release housing starts and building permits later in the day.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2382; (P) 1.2472; (R1) 1.2518; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as the consolidation from 1.2562 continues. Downside of retreat should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.1919 to 1.2562 at 1.2316 and bring rise resumption. We'd still holding on to the view that corrective fall from 1.2834 is completed at 1.1919. Above 1.2562 will target 1.2834 resistance.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Current Account (JPY) Apr 1.27T 1.45T 2.07T
23:50 JPY GDP Q/Q Q1 F 1.00% 0.70% 0.60%
23:50 JPY GDP Deflator Y/Y Q1 F 3.40% 3.40% 3.40%
2:25 CNY Trade Balance May $59.50B $47.00B $34.13B
5:00 JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Current May 54.2 53.6
6:00 EUR German Industrial Production M/M Apr 0.60% -0.50%
6:00 EUR German Trade Balance (EUR) Apr 18.1B 19.3B
8:30 EUR Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Jun 18.9 19.6
12:15 CAD Housing Starts May 187K 181.8K
12:30 CAD Building Permits M/M Apr 3.40% 11.60%
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

JPY: Dollar surged in NY morning after NFP, offers at 125.00, 125.20, 125.50 and 125.75 were filled but sell orders are still noted at 125.90-00 and 126.20-25, more selling interest is tipped at 126.50, 126.75 and 127.00. On the downside, bids are raised to 125.40, 125.20 and 125.00-05, some stops are placed below 124.80 and 124.60, buying interest should emerge around 124.30-40 and 124.00.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: EUR/GBP - Buy at 0.7240

As the single currency has retreated again after faltering below this week's high at 0.7386, retaining our view that consolidation below this level would be seen and pullback to 0.7260 cannot be ruled out, however, reckon 0.7240 would limit downside and bring another rise later. Above said resistance would signal the rise from 0.7055 is still in progress and may extend gain to 0.7405-10, however, as broad outlook remains consolidative, reckon upside would be limited to 0.7445-50

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Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Buy at 1.2370

Despite intra-day rise to 1.2563, as the greenback has retreated after failing to penetrate this level, suggesting consolidation below this level would be seen and pullback to 1.2400 cannot be ruled out, however, reckon support at 1.2368 would limit downside and bring another rise later. A break of said resistance at 1.2563 would extend recent upmove from 1.1920 (wave c and probably entire wave iv) to 1.2600

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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