Monday, June 29, 2015

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 6-29-15

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Global Stocks Tumbled on Greece, Euro Pared Losses

Global stocks market tumble sharply on news that Greece is going to hold a referendum on bailout terms with the international creditors. US markets open generally low with DJIA losing more than -120 pts in initial trading. Major European indices are also generally lower with DAX losing -1.8%, CAC losing -2.2% and FTSE losing -0.9% at the time of writing. In the currency markets, Euro plunged deeply as the week opened but pared back much of the losses enter into European session. Yen remains the strongest major currencies on risk aversion.

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1127; (P) 1.1173 (R1) 1.1217; More....

EUR/USD dived to as low as 1.0954 earlier today but recovered strongly. Breach of 1.1134 indicate temporary bottoming and intraday bias is turned neutral first. At this point, we're favoring the case that corrective rebound from 1.0461 has completed at 1.1466 already. Another fall is expected and below 1.0954 will target 1.0818 support for confirmation. Break of 1.1436 will extend such rebound but in that case, strong resistance should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 1.3993 to 1.0461 at 1.1810 to bring reversal.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Retail Trade Y/Y May 3.00% 2.40% 5.00% 4.90%
23:50 JPY Industrial Production M/M May P -2.20% -0.70% 1.20%
08:30 GBP Mortgage Approvals May 64.4K 68.5K 68.1K 67.6K
08:30 GBP M4 Money Supply M/M May 0.50% 0.50% 0.40%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Economic Confidence Jun 103.5 103.6 103.8
09:00 EUR Eurozone Business Climate Indicator Jun 0.14 0.25 0.28
09:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Confidence Jun -3.4 -3 -3
09:00 EUR Eurozone Services Confidence Jun 7.9 8.1 7.8
09:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence Jun F -5.6 -5.6 -5.6
12:00 EUR German CPI M/M Jun P -0.10% 0.20% 0.10%
12:00 EUR German CPI Y/Y Jun P 0.30% 0.50% 0.70%
12:30 CAD Industrial Product Price M/M May 0.50% 0.50% -0.90%
12:30 CAD Raw Materials Price Index M/M May 4.40% 4.00% 3.80% 4.00%
14:00 USD Pending Home Sales M/M May 0.90% 1.20% 3.40%
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency continued to edge higher after rebounding from 1.0954, offers at 1.1130-40 were filled but sell orders are reported at 1.1170 and 1.1185, sellers are located at 1.1200, 1.1220-25 and 1.1245, selling interest is tipped at 1.1280 and 1.1300. On the downside, bids remain at 1.1050-55, 1.1030 and 1.1000, buy orders are expected at 1.0980 and 1.0960, fresh demand should emerge around 1.0930 and 1.0900.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Update: GBP/USD - Sell at 1.5800

As cable has rebounded after intra-day brief fall to 1.5664, suggesting consolidation above this level would be seen and recovery to 1.5770-75 cannot be ruled out, however, reckon resistance at 1.5803 would limit upside and bring another decline later. A break of said intra-day support would extend the fall from 1.5930 to 1.5615-20 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 1.5422-1.5930), then 1.5595-00 but reckon support at 1.5542 would hold from here.

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Trade Idea Update: EUR/USD - Sell at 1.1180

Although the single currency opened sharply lower and dropped to as low as 1.0954, lack of follow through selling and current strong rebound suggest consolidation above said support would be seen, however, reckon 1.1180-85 (50% Fibonacci retracement of 1.1410-1.0954) would limit upside and bring another decline later. Below 1.1030-35 would bring test of 1.0985 but break of latter level is needed to signal rebound from 1.0954 has ended, bring retest of this level

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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