Thursday, June 4, 2015

Action Insight Daily Report 6-5-15

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Daily Report: Euro Retreats on Greece Jitter, NFP Watched

Euro retreats mildly on again on news from Greece and as markets await employment data from US. Nonetheless, the common currency remains the strongest major currency so far this week. Greece invoked a rarely used option and requested to bundle today's payment to IMF together with the other three totalling EUR 1.6b, and put them off till end of June. That was a surprise to the markets as IMF chief Christine Lagarde expressed her confidence that Greece would pay the loan payment today. IMF noted in a statement that the bundling was "intended to address the administrative difficulty of making multiple payments in a short period." There were talks that the Greece and its international creditors are targeting to reach a deal by June 14. But now it looks like the negotiations could drag on till the end of the month.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2455; (P) 1.2479; (R1) 1.2523; More...

USD/CAD continues to stays in consolidation below 1.2562 and intraday bias remains neutral. Another fall could be seen but downside would be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.1919 to 1.2562 at 1.2316 and bring rise resumption. We'd still holding on to the view that corrective fall from 1.2834 is completed at 1.1919. Above 1.2562 will target 1.2834 resistance.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
05:00 JPY Leading Index Apr P 107.3 106
06:00 EUR German Factory Orders s.a. M/M Apr 0.60% 0.90%
07:00 CHF Foreign Currency Reserves May 521.9B
09:00 EUR Eurozone GDP Q/Q Q1 P 0.40% 0.40%
12:30 USD Change in Non-farm Payrolls May 218K 223K
12:30 USD Unemployment Rate May 5.40% 5.40%
12:30 CAD Net Change in Employment May 10.2K -19.7K
12:30 CAD Unemployment Rate May 6.80% 6.80%
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: The single currency finally retreated after rising to 1.1380 in European session, bids at 1.1290-00 and 1.1250-55 were filled but buy orders are still noted at 1.1225-30, 1.1200 and 1.1185, buying interest is located at 1.1150, 1.1120 and 1.1100, fresh demand should emerge around 1.1080 and 1.1050. On the upside, offers are now seen at 1.1300, 1.1325-30 and 1.1350, sell orders are reported at 1.1380 and 1.1400 (stops above), selling interest is tipped at 1.1430 and 1.1450.

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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea : EUR/GBP - Buy at 0.7260

As the single currency has retreated after rising to 0.7386, suggesting consolidation below this level would be seen and pullback to 0.7300 cannot be ruled out, however, reckon 0.7255-60 would limit downside and bring another rise later. Above said resistance would signal the rise from 0.7055 is still in progress and may extend gain to 0.7405-10, however, as broad outlook remains consolidative, reckon upside would be limited to 0.7445-50

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

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